Dow 1929 Vs. Dow 2021?
The DOW JONES Index peaked on September 3, 1929 at 381.17. It ran lower into October 24th, 1929 when the market plunged 11% on the open from the preceding day. We call that Black Thursday even though the market closed only slightly lower.
The crash continued Monday October 26th when the Dow tumbled 13% and another 12% on Black Tuesday October 27th. The Great Depression had begun. The crash didn’t stop until July 8th, 1932 with the Dow down to 41.22, an incredible 89.2% drop.
I think it is going to happen again.
Very, very soon.
For months I have been suggesting that I believe the bubble is going to burst and we would have tops in the Indexes from mid-August into September before declining into a crash in late October.
So far, so good. The S&P peaked at 4545.85 on September 2nd. The DJI topped on August 16th at 35631.19. The Nasdaq high point was on September 7th at 15,403.44.
Most investors today have never been through a real market crash and have no idea of what is coming. You cannot have the extremes that we have today without a full reset back to the norm. Since the market is more out of balance than it was in 1929 and 2000 I would not be surprised to see a market crash of similar dimensions, that is to say a 89-92% decline.