Emgold:
EMR - V (Toronto Venture Exchange)
Price: 12 cents Target Price: $6.67
Kenneth J.
Gerbino
Archives
Kenneth J.
Gerbino & Company
Dec 12, 2007
We own a substantial position
in Emgold for all clients and the Gerbino Gold Group LLC. Emgold
is in our opinion one of the best values in the mining sector.
It is undervalued and underfollowed. The Idaho Maryland mine
when placed back in production should be one of the top 15 largest
gold mines in North America and one of the lowest cost producers.
- At full production of 2300
tons per day the mine should produce 350,000 oz. of gold annually
- Our estimated annual pre tax
cash flow is $147 million
- IRR 74.5%
- They should have their permitting
completed by 2nd Q 2008
- Five of five of the City Council
are pro business
- Substantial technical work
has been completed on the mine data inputs from thousands of
old drill intercepts and maps. This indicates hundreds of more
resource blocks and targets to be evaluated.
- They recently completed an
$8 million funding
- RAB Capital, a billion dollar
and well respected London resource fund is now the largest shareholder
of Emgold.
- When mining takes place, the
waste rock can be sold as aggregate for $9-10 per ton. This could
be a substantial credit against mining costs.
- The company could be in production
by the 2nd Q of 2010
- Our estimated production costs
are $217 per ounce
Our target price at $700 gold
is $6.67 per fully diluted share.
We are assuming:
1. 2300 tons (2000 lbs per
U.S.ton) per day production
2. 95% recovery factor
3. Annual production of 350,000 oz.
4. A grade of .44 oz per ton (U.S. short ton - 2,000 lbs)
5. Zero credits for aggregates and $50/ton trucking charge for
waste rock
6. $150 million capex
7. Fully diluted all in shares outstanding at production of 330
million shares
8. Cash flow after tax of $.33 per share at full production in
2011.
9. At a 20 multiple of cash flow the price target is $6.67 per
share.
Note: Kenneth J. Gerbino & Company owns substantial
shares of Emgold. This report has forward looking statements
and we seek safe harbor. All information is speculative in nature
and this security is for speculative and aggressive accounts
only.
Nov 25, 2007
Ken Gerbino
 Archives Kenneth J. Gerbino & Company Investment Management 9595 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 303 Beverly Hills, California 90212 Telephone (310) 550-6304 Fax (310) 550-0814 E-Mail: kjgco@att.net Website: www.kengerbino.com
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