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Can we talk? v

"Quo vadis?"

Joseph Fasciani
Jun 10, 2003

 

"In 1960, when I came out of prison as an ex-convict, I had more freedom under parolee supervision than there's available to an average citizen in America right now. " -Merle Haggard

This quotation says as much as needs be said regarding the pathetic state of affairs that passes for a polity in the US today. Rep. Dennis Kucinich is making the rounds as a Democratic aspirant for the Presidency, but it remains to be seen if he meets the fate of Paul Wellstone, John Kennedy Jr., both Kennedy brothers, Martin Luther King, Malcolm X, and the Black Panther spokespeople. The nation's in a bad way, addicted to massive inflows of oil and dollar capital daily, else it collapse utterly.

Dr Michael Grant, eminent historian of Rome and the ancient world, published a book about the collapse of the Roman Empire in which he identified thirteen stages of descent. He stated at that time (1988) that the US had fulfilled twelve of those steps, and there remained only the elephant in the living room to complete the last. That element was a rampant militarism, spun out of imperial and senatorial control, ending with the army's election of their candidates to the throne.

To date, although the US military has come perilously close to seizure of state, it has remained behind its candidates, allowing the Great Man of the Hour to act as their leader. It prefers to concoct schemes of covert terrorist-inspired actions that serve to drag the masses into war, whether it be an Operations Northwoods or the Zionazis derived outrage of September 11th, the Pearl Harbour of our increasingly absurd and irrelevant era. And by the bye, we already know who was responsible, and yes, The Powers That Be Know also, but they ain't talking because of "National Security"! Want to know who they are? Just get the names from the SEC of the people who placed puts on the airlines involved. After all, they are civil servants, aren't they?

I say "irrelevant" because the so-called "solutions" to crisis that are put forward are inevitably as bad or worse than the issues they confront. Not only do they fail to resolve the current problem, they exacerbate the situation and lead to further degradation of humanity and planet. It's as if the instigators of these insanities truly believe they are immune from repercussions, that they will not fall before the plagues of disease and deprivation they promote without end.

Richard Daughty, one of the half-dozen financial commentators I subscribe to, called the situation pretty well in his headline today:

"Malinvestment, Thriftlessness, and Speculation."

And there it is! Pretty well sums up what's going on by the Wall Street bunch that flogs paper follies, day in, day out, getting paid both ways, nothing to lose but your retirement savings, your house equity, and the kids to medical research.

Thirty years ago, when I believed in the markets as relatively free places where people could buy and sell reasonably free of deceit, I started to study the history of those arenas and the economic vagaries that have led us here. Gradually matters started coming under a different light: For I looked to the East, and lo, oil was there. I looked to the West, and yea, mighty bagmen stood by, waiting, waiting. I looked to the South, and beheld immense marketplaces where all were bought and sold. And finally, I turned to the North and saw a mighty damned bad Winter coming, yea, even unto Kondratieff.

After I wrote the Canadian Commodities Broker Exam and sat on the same side of the table as my former broker, the other fellows in the office asked me if I knew how the markets work? I started to answer the usual textbook lines about buying and selling on a regulated floor, etc., etc., when I was interrupted and told, "No, man, it's because of The Greater Fool!" And who, I asked, would that be? "Why the guy who buys in hope he can sell it for more to A Greater Fool than himself!" With the exception of my broker, Daniel Ho, who'd come to Canada from Hong Kong, they were vastly amused; Daniel and I were not. It struck us as a cynical dereliction of our duty to hold such an ethical attitude in regard of our clients.

Unfortunately, those feelings were affirmed in mega-abundance these past three years, as we witness an unending parade of corrupt officers of some of the best known companies in the world, followed by their promoters, the bagmen who got their percentage, coming and going, now coming to the courts, and perhaps going to prison. But there are precedents for all this, and in recent history, too. How many remember Prudential's fines, a total of US$1.5 billion, that stretch back to incidents originated in the sixties, which got much worse after the Pru acquired Bache.

"Malinvestment, Thriftlessness, and Speculation." Quite a recitation of "what's happening" these days, as over-extended fools rush to buy over-priced shares of non-performing entities. Well, if you're into options you can profit by "putting" your money where your mind is. Otherwise, stand aside. The chart I made last week and sent to 321gold.com tells us the blowoff approacheth: Beware! Beware! And we see today's markets slide (09 June), and there's still the rest of the week to come!

But not to worry: The Financial Times today informed us that the bank of N Rothschild (London) will begin oil trading. Since the House of Rothschild was responsible for setting a Very Large Part of our present situation into motion, you can go to sleep now with their hand on the wheel!

By now you're wondering why did he title this rant as "Quo vadis?" And well you should be wondering, especially if you don't know that this phrase translates to "Where are you going?" (or something like that, my Latin and Greek are in a sad state of low maintenance.) By some strange coincidence, this phrase was also part of the title for a brief (Thank God!) speech made by Willem Duisenberg, the head of the EU's Central Bank at a meeting in London, on 27 November 1997.

Yo, Alan, did ya' catch that, like five freaking years ago?

MONETARY POLICY IN EUROPE - QUO VADIS?

Speech by Willem F. Duisenberg

President of the European Monetary Institute

London, 27 November 1997

And here is what "old Europe" Willem had to say, in the first two sentences of the opening paragraph of his speech, so even old guys like Sir Alan would still be awake and "get it."

1. " Monetary policy cannot influence the growth rate of the economy by having an effect on aggregate demand in the long run. Economic growth depends on the productivity and the supply of factors of production such as labour and capital. No central bank in the world is able to increase its country's growth rate permanently by printing money or even by reducing the nominal interest rate to zero."

Thank you, Willem, I couldn't have been more succinct if I tried. Yo, Alan, did you catch all that? When I listened to you going on in front of the Senate Finance and Treasury the other day on C-SPAN, it sure as Hell sounded as though you must have fallen asleep early, eh? Must be those rich French desserts. That's what Dubya said, you know, that he was looking forward to the desserts at the White House, he'd heard from Poppy they were pretty good!

So folks, there it is, and remember, you read it here first. Is that why the dollar's tanking and the euro's offset it by more than 20%, do you suppose? Tell you what: get on the horn, call Sir Alan, see if you can get him to read 321gold.com. It just might remind him of what he was saying and writing thirty years ago, before he started falling asleep at the wheel.

Joseph Fasciani
Jun 10, 2003

Also by Joseph Fasciani
Can we talk? iv Jun 7, 2003
Can we talk? iii Jun 2, 2003
Can we talk? ii May 24, 2003
Can we talk? Apr 21, 2003

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321gold Inc Miami USA