..
Can we
talk? iv
Joseph Fasciani
Jun 7, 2003
AN AMAZING
CHART (In My Humble Opinion)
This chart was constructed
while doing my usual daily investigating for my daughter's investments.
The symmetry is, to my mind,
nothing less than awesome. Here we see the S&P 500 (a far
more reliable indicator of what's happening in paper than the
heavily biased DJI) plotted against First Eagle Gold Fund. The
blue line is the 200 day moving average. Defying all traditional
rational analysis and interpretation, the fund's price is rising
in a rising stock market! What's going on?
Keep in mind that Morningstar
has rated First Eagle Gold the fund with the best returns over
the past five years, out of 2500 funds they surveyed. Obviously
there is powerful management and shrewd investing here, for those
kinds of returns. To put a little icing on the cake, this fund,
along with RoyalGold, pays a dividend! No wonder I had my daughter
buy heavily into both!
But aside from that, to the
best of my memory, I have never seen such symmetry in the more
than twenty-five years I've been charting. Not just for what
it's telling me about emotions, markets, expectations, and greed,
but the fact that we are looking at instruments that are considered
to move for opposing reasons--which explains the mirrored swellings
in both courses--but now look carefully at the tail-end of the
lines.
The gold is rising to parallel
the equities market! I've looked at a lot of linear entrails
over the years, but this is a doozy!! If this isn't an accurate
BUY ME NOW sign, can you tell me what is? It may be that we are
close to the blow off point where reason flees before fear, as
we saw when gold ran up to US$850.00. Do you remember? I know
I'll never forget the TV news in Canada showing people queued
three blocks long in the rain to buy gold as soon as the banks
opened.
Another three weeks of this
kind of action and I say all bets are off: every silver and gold
stock--from the best to the worst--will be snapped up faster
than you can say "Damn! The dollar's down again!!"
Joseph Fasciani
Jun 7, 2003
Also by Joseph Fasciani
Can
we talk? iii Jun 2, 2003
Can we talk? ii May 24, 2003
Can
we talk? Apr 21, 2003
________________
321gold
Inc Miami USA
|