Chasing Price is Shooting Heroin
Sep 7, 2010
[Editor's note: This
article replaces the one posted this morning in order to clarify
some comments that were confusing to our readers (and me]
1. How do you spell "party?"
I spell it, "ringing the cash register."
2. The greatest danger in markets is believing you have the situation
all figured out. For many decades, the "banksters"
have controlled the gold market, and many other markets. When
the OTC derivatives were marked to market (a small portion of
them) in 2007, the losing side of the trade said "we don't
have the money, we're bankrupt!." The winning side,
the bankster side, said, "If we don't get paid, we
shut the system down. We crack the whip and the taxpayers make
the trip. Ha ha ha!" The greatest blackmail in the history
of the world then immediately took place, as US Gov't borrowed
trillions on behalf of the taxpayers (stole it from them), and
handed it to the banksters. The bottom line is the banksters
became multi-trillionaires in a heartbeat, and began their reign
as money kings in the new era of "unlimited money."
Unlimited money for them. Unlimited debt for the taxpaying bagholders,
the American Citizens.
3. Since the multi-trillion dollar OTC derivatives implosion
of Lehman Brothers, it has become all-critical that investors
never forget the power that "unlimited money" gives
to those in that position, on a macro as well as on a micro scale.
That power will be used in the gold market on a degree never
imagined by most, let alone experienced, in the very near future.
4. Most analysts and investors in the gold community have become
very very bullish on gold items over the past couple of weeks,
and with a lot of good reasons.
5. What I would like you to understand is that I'm probably even
more bullish than most of you, but there is a "dangerous
to you" undercurrent developing, a gold market "rip
tide" if you will.
6. The banksters don't need to crash gold and gold stocks to
take the gold items most investors hold; they just need to hit
it enough so those investors liquidate. Because they have near
unlimited financial resources, the best charts and analysis mean
very little when put into the market battlefield against the
liquidity flows of the banksters.
7. That is what I'm seeing now in the gold community; a focus
on charts, good times, and strong seasonals. Some are claiming
gold can't sell off now. That's just plain wrong. I agree that
all the bullish factors mentioned are present, and more. September
is also a time when junior miners release drill program results,
and that's been happening. I've referred to "Golden Popcorn,"
and many juniors are indeed "price popping" upside,
with 20%, 50%, 100% and even bigger moves, in just over
the recent 4 to 12 week timeframes. Other juniors however, remain
stuck in the mud, well below their 2006 highs, having hedged
or diluted themselves as they faced costs that rose faster than
8. Most writers believe the gold bull market has many years to
run. I say Perhaps. That depends on how gold is used by
the banksters as a control mechanism to raise asset prices, not
on whether the impoverished public "sees the light"
in gold's value. Let's not be too hasty to forget the main function
of gold in the financial system.
9. Let's all repeat together: Gold is a control mechanism. The
banksters make most of their money from selling debt to people,
gov'ts, corporations, and now, central banks. The more debt that
is taken on, the more money the banksters make, provided the
debtor can pay the interest on the debts. It really doesn't matter
about the principal; what matters is the ability of the banksters
to keep the debtor servicing a growing debt.
10. From time to time, the debt levels can become unmanageable.
This has happened many times in history, over thousands of years.
When it is a small debt, and the debtor can no longer pay, the
banksters tend to force the debtor into default/bankruptcy.
11. When the debt is very large, that is when GOLD enters the
picture, as the punisher. When the system is the debtor, the
banksters have a toolbox they use to attempt to manage the situation
before bringing the gold punisher onto the scene.
12. First they lower rates," all the way to zero for an
unlimited period of time if need be." The majority
of investors believe the lowering of rates is to restart the
economy. Wrong. It is to raise asset prices against paper money.
When debt is marked to market and the debtors can't pay, asset
prices fall against paper money.
13. The lowering of rates is an attempt to raise asset prices.
That tool has been employed for several years now, and is generally
deemed to have failed. The next tool in the banksters'
toolbox is Quantitative Easing. QE is a purchase of assets by
the banksters, a further attempt to raise asset prices.
14. Where I differ with most analysts, is my view is that these
bank policy tools are not designed to restart the economy, but
to raise asset prices. The purpose of raising asset prices is
to allow the largest debtor, the gov't, to continue to service
their debts, without defaulting.
15. Stock market prices have recovered moderately, looking at
the Dow. Unfortunately, most investors are not invested in the
Dow, and were never invested in the Dow. They were invested
in playland stocks, and playland has been razed by the grim reaper
of valuation reality. Their portfolios look like charcoal, and
taste like charcoal. The banksters are much less willing
now to allow these investors to use either their stock market
or real estate carcass portfolios as collateral, for increased
debt levels. The bottom line is that asset prices need to be
vastly higher for the banksters to open the lending spigot.
16. That brings us to the next tool, gold revaluation. The gold
revaluation phase is what I was referring to when I began
referring to a coming "Gold Punisher," and most didn't
really understand why I called gold "the punisher."
I would suggest the reason for that moniker is a lot clearer
to you now. The "chop till you drop" interest rate
show failed to raise asset prices. QE cannot yet be deemed to
have failed, but report card day is drawing near and it's looking
like a "D" is going to be what all the debtors are
going to be rating the effect of buying assets, on their asset
prices. The Gold Punisher, the Queen, is backstage now, preparing
for her entrance on the main stage for the Big Show. The question
is: Are You Prepared?
17. What about timing? Look at the liquidity flows. The banksters
are piling on short positions in the gold market. Does that sound
like a strategy they would employ if gold was about to be re-valued
here and now against the dollar, and the dollar was about to
begin a huge leg down against gold?
18. The answer to that question depends on how big a short position
you think the banksters can carry, with the ultra-leveraged "fundsters"
on the other side of this trade. The answer is the trillionaire
banksters can carry millions of contracts on the short side,
millions beyond the 500,000 they are carrying now, by definition,
because they have trillions in liquidity to do it. The fact is
they are already carrying tens of millions of contracts as a
group in dozens of futures markets around the world, so "stepping
up" their gold market trade and position size, either
on the short or long side, to numbers vastly beyond the imagination
of most in the gold community, is easily possible, without bankrupting
19. While the banksters could carry millions of gold position
shorts, the reality is they want to make money on their newest
short positions, and the sooner the better. Live for ringing
the cash register today, not tomorrow's gold pie in the sky,
is their motto, and mine. $1156 is now a distant memory. We have
risen almost exactly $100 to $1256, and recovered $100 of the
$110 we tumbled from $1266. Those who "knew" it was
all over at $1156, now "know" gold is about to blast
to $1400, with visions of $2000 an ounce gold sugar plums dancing
in their heads. I have the same visions, which is exactly why
I am a seller into this rally. Not a buyer. Not a wiener. The
price-chasing wieners will soon be roasted, as they have been
every time they have swaggered up to the price chasing trough
since the beginning of time itself. Sorry to break the news to
those of you holding your price-chasing gold heroin needle, but
I don't bet against the banksters, not here, not now,
not ever. Go ahead, stick that needle in, see what happens. Get
a grip on yourself. Don't shoot up with heroin. There's nothing
the trillionaire banksters like better in a market fight, than
an opponent who is drugged up on price-chasing heroin. If the
heroin addict is also snorting a big load of debt cocaine, if
he is leveraged, all the better, because then it's slaughterhouse
20. Below is a link to the natural gas chart, and in the bigger
picture, it bears an eerie similarity to Gold at $250-$400, when
Gold seemed set to move, but then disappointed for what seemed
an eternity. My advice is to continue accumulation, with patience.
Gas Chart. Important Buy Program Underway! Look at the myriad
of buy signals being generated on the oscillators!
21. As phenomenal as NG looks, Uranium looks even better! Here's
Chart. There's a head and shoulders bottom, and you can be
a player in this asset class via the U.tsx ETF for just $6 a
share! Hands up everyone who doesn't have six dollars to own
at least one share of this ultra high quality asset while the
market is holding a 70% off price sale! I'm a buyer every 5 cents
down; that's the level of commitment.
22. Here's a look at the GDX
Daily Chart. Price is up about 15% in 6 weeks. There's nothing
else to do but book profit on trading positions. Nothing. Now
here's the GDX
Weekly Chart. Note the red supply line in the sand, which
is really an exponential-gains-for-you launch pad into the stratosphere.
Despite a huge run, the weekly chart oscillators are still generating
buy signals right now! Remember that I personally sell into all
strength, regardless of such buy signals, but the signals are
positive indicators of higher prices to come for your core positions.
The GDX chart is telling me that I could be booking profit for
some time, and well into much higher prices!
23. The game I believe the banksters will play, here and now,
is to patiently add shorts into gold's strength while frustrating
traders who buy with tight stops, and frustrating those who have
sold too quickly and are now afraid they are going to miss out
on "the big one." Your trading strategy must
be: continue to book profit on your gold and gold stock trading
positions, and order the cement truck to encase your gold market
core positions in cement, positions you are already gripping
with an Iron Hand. OK people your holiday is over! Let's hit
the Gold Price Grids. Work Time!
Sep 7, 2010
email for questions: email@example.com
email to request the free reports: firstname.lastname@example.org
|Tuesday 26th May 2020
Special Offer for 321Gold readers: Send an email to email@example.com and I'll send you my “ETFs Versus Individual Miners!” free report. I highlight the unique risks and rewards associated with key individual miners and ETFs, so investors can decide whether to own the miners, the ETFS, or both! I include buy/sell points of action for each item.
Updates Subscription Service: Note we are privacy oriented. We accept cheques.
And credit cards thru PayPal only on our website. For your protection
we don't see your credit card information. Only PayPal
|Subscribe via major credit cards
- or make checks payable to: "Stewart Thomson" Mail
to: Stewart Thomson / 1276 Lakeview Drive / Oakville, Ontario
L6H 2M8 / Canada
is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland
Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am. The
newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered
point form; giving clarity to each point and saving valuable
Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided
by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes
only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative
that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced
and qualifed investment advisors and get numerous opinions before
taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the
world is 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking
or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not
know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly
concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products.
There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with
a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line: