Gold: China Is Back In The Game Stewart Thomson
Jan 8, 2019
- It’s time for the queen of assets to rest and consolidate. Nothing goes up in a straight line, and that’s certainly true for gold!
- Please click here now . Double-click to enlarge this daily gold chart.
- A pullback to about $1250 would be a healthy 50% retracement of the $100 rally from $1200 to $1300.
- Gold begins 2019 with some very positive news in play. Please click here now . After a two-year hiatus, China’s central bank is back in gold market action!
- The bank had been consistently buying about 15-20 tons of gold a month. When those purchases are added to buying from Russia and other central banks, they are quite price-supportive.
- It’s great to see China back on the buy, and analysts in India are projecting a ramp-up in gold imports there of about 20% for the first six months of 2019.
- The ECB (Europe’s central bank) is projecting higher inflation and easing growth for 2019.
- The love trade is healthy, the central bank trade is healthy, and global stock markets are on the rocks.
- On that note, please click here now . Double-click to enlarge. I’m a bit worried that the US stock market rally could peter out quickly.
- Please click here now . Institutional money managers are cutting back their allocations to US equities, and rightly so.
- The business cycle is entering the eighth and ninth innings, wage inflation is poised to spike in full-time jobs, and earnings have clearly plateaued.
- Please click here now . China’s central bank and government have vastly more “wiggle room” than America’s do to stimulate the economy.
- China’s stimulus is inflationary, and that’s good news for gold.
- The US government is shut down. That’s not a position of strength, to put it mildly. These shutdowns have happened so many times that citizens are now numb and don’t seem to care.
- It’s not a good thing; the government just can’t seem to break its addiction to borrowing more and more money.
- The US government has been very vocal in its opposition to the modest interest rate rates from the Fed. I don’t see any economic stress from these hikes, and senior citizens have been paid nothing in their savings accounts for years.
- Rate hikes are an indicator that inflation is in the air. They haven’t hurt gold, they help senior citizens, and they put pressure on banks to make business loans rather than finance stock market buybacks to enrich corporate directors.
- Rate hikes do put pressure on the ability of the US government to borrow ever-more money, and that pressure is good.
- Please click here now . Double-click to enlarge this daily silver chart.
- The uptrend is solid. A pullback is normal, expected, and healthy. Note the Fibonacci lines in play around the demand line of the uptrend channel.
- Silver feels almost as solid as gold does right now, and that’s likely due to the growing threat of stagflation throughout much of the world.
- Please click here now . Double-click to enlarge this nice GDX daily chart.
- Like most sectors of the precious metals asset class, GDX is taking a breather after it successfully penetrated key resistance in the $20.70 area.
- From a technical perspective, the range trade in the $20-$21.50 area has a 67% chance of being resolved with a rally to $23. The current consolidation could be the last opportunity for excited investors to buy in this price zone before GDX moves above $23 and stays there for quite a long period of time!
Jan 8, 2019
email for questions: firstname.lastname@example.org
email to request the free reports: email@example.com
|Tuesday 18th Feb 2020
Special Offer for 321Gold readers: Send an email to firstname.lastname@example.org and I'll send you my free “Golden Mine Stock Popping Corn!” report. I highlight under the radar junior miners that are popping higher, while the precious metals ETFs seem stuck in the mud. I include key buy/sell tactics for each stock.
Updates Subscription Service: Note we are privacy oriented. We accept cheques.
And credit cards thru PayPal only on our website. For your protection
we don't see your credit card information. Only PayPal
|Subscribe via major credit cards
- or make checks payable to: "Stewart Thomson" Mail
to: Stewart Thomson / 1276 Lakeview Drive / Oakville, Ontario
L6H 2M8 / Canada
is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland
Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am. The
newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered
point form; giving clarity to each point and saving valuable
Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided
by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes
only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative
that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced
and qualifed investment advisors and get numerous opinions before
taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the
world is 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking
or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not
know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly
concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products.
There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with
a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line: