|
Get with the Program
Richard Russell
Dow Theory Letters
Sep 24, 2003
Extracted
from the Sep 23, 2003 issue of Richard's Remarks
Gold --As for gold, which gapped higher on
Monday, the metal seems overdue for some kind of pull-back or
consolidation -- but will it happen?
A lot of potential buyers are
anxiously waiting. Today (Tuesday) gold opened down almost four
dollars, but as I write an hour after the opening December gold
is down 1.70 to 386.70. Let's see how she closes.
I want to say a few words about
entering the gold market.
Yesterday, I talked to Leon,
my local coin dealer (858 459 2228) about incoming orders. He
told me that in general he's getting a lot of inquiries, but
most of them amount to "I was just asking about price and
availability, but I want to wait for a correction before buying
any gold."
This seems to be the prevailing
sentiment, and it may work or it may not work. My own inclination
is to say, "Don't try to time your gold purchases."
This is a bull market, and you should decide how much you want
to buy and you then go in and buy in any amount and way that
makes you comfortable. Sure buy it all at once, buy it weekly,
buy it in sections. In the end, in a bull market almost everything
in the item will rise through time.
So my feeling is that subscribers
waste a lot of time trying to time their purchases. The important
thesis is that it's a bull market and your job is to "get
with the program." If it's truly a primary bull market,
whether you pay 375 for your gold coins or 395 is not going to
be the critical factor. The critical factor is whether you buy
any gold coins or gold stocks at all, and if you do, how many
or how much do you buy?
I hear a lot of talk about
"the gold stocks moving too far ahead of gold, the metal."
But what's happening is that the gold shares are moving up as
they discount a forthcoming higher price for the metal.
When common stocks move up
strongly in a bull market in the face of a sluggish economy we
know that the stocks are discounting better times for the economy.
It's the same phenomenon in the gold market. The stocks are discounting,
looking ahead.
Accumulators of gold stocks
in this area are not being stupid.
The rising price of gold stocks
is "forecasting" a higher price for gold.
More follows for subscribers
. . .
Richard Russell
Dow Theory
Letters
© Copyright 2003 Dow Theory Letters, Inc
Richard Russell began
publishing Dow Theory Letters in 1958, and he has been
writing the Letters ever since (never once having skipped a Letter).
Dow Theory Letters is the oldest service continuously written
by one person in the business.
He offers a
TRIAL (two consecutive up-to-date issues) for $1.00 (same price
that was originally charged in 1958). Trials, please one time
only. Mail your $1.00 check to: Dow Theory Letters, PO Box 1759,
La Jolla, CA 92038 (annual cost of a subscription is $250, tax
deductible if ordered through your business).
_________________
321gold Inc ref: 8631
|