The Stealth Bull
Richard Russell
Dow Theory Letters
Aug 16, 2003
Extracted
from the Aug 15, 2003 issue of Russel's Remarks
There's also
a "stealth bull market" operating, and I'm referring
to the sneaky bull market in gold and gold stocks. At its April
2001 low, gold was selling at 260 an ounce. Today gold is selling
at 365 an ounce. That's a gain of 40% since April 2001. I'd call
that a bull market.
At its October
2001 low, the unhedged "gold bug's" gold average was
priced at 36. Today HUI is at 181, That's a rise of 405%. I'd
call that a bull market, wouldn't you?
So if gold
and gold shares are in a bull market, how is it that nobody is
noticing? And if, by some chance, they do notice, how is it that
they sneer at gold and claim that it's just a commodity, and
that it's going nowhere?
Well the reason
there's no publicity being given to the bull market in gold is
that gold is the "uninvited guest" at the Fed's party.
But you can't fool all the people all of the time. Lincoln said
that, and Lincoln knew what he was talking about.
You see, I
have a theory, and my theory is that gold, even the idea of gold,
is embedded deep in man's psyche. It's almost in man's DNA. The
lust for gold opened up Alaska and the Yukon territory. The search
for gold opened up California and the West. The search for gold
made South Africa rich. The first metal mentioned in the Bible
is gold. Steel may build factories and apartment buildings, but
gold builds nations. In other words, you can BS the public about
gold for a while, but not forever.
Here's the
central banks' problem. If gold heads higher in a dramatic way,
people will start asking questions. "What's happening, why
is gold rising in price? Is something wrong with the dollar?
Why has Rolex raised the prices of its gold watches?"
So at this
strange and peculiar time in history, governments don't want
higher gold. In fact, they don't want attention directed to gold
at all. "Let it lie," says the Fed, "Let it do
what it wants as long as it's not noticed by the crowd."
Which is fine
with Richard Russell and his subscribers, because it means that
we can continue to buy "cheap" gold and "cheap"
gold shares. And what's better than buying "underpriced
merchandise" in the early stages of what promises to be
a great bull market?
More follows for subscribers
. . .
Richard Russell
Dow Theory
Letters
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