I hold the gold
Richard Russell
Dow Theory Letters
Aug 5, 2003
Extracted
from the Aug 4, 2003 issue of Richard's Remarks
Russell Comment -- It's obvious that somewhere ahead,
and probably soon, the US will be forced to make some incredibly
difficult choices. Bring in a lot more revenue or cut critical
spending. Of course, there's a third way that the economists
and politicians don't like to talk about. It's called paying
the bills with fiat paper -- or inflation. My guess is that this
is the way a lot of the bills will be paid. If so, the dollar
is headed for "junk currency" status.
For all the above reasons,
I believe that subscribers must hold gold and gold shares. It
may be a rough ride over the near term, I really don't know.
The Fed and the politicians will try to hide the truth from the
American people. Gold or real money is "the truth."
If gold starts running wild on the upside, people will start
asking questions. The news will be reported in Newsweek and Time
and even in the Wall Street Journal and in Barron's.
In any event, this is the picture
that I see ahead. The US is forced to either raise taxes sky-high
(politically and economically almost impossible), cut programs
like Social Security, Medicare and even defense to the bone (politically
impossible) or print the dollars required to finance the liabilities
(can they print that much without destroying the currency?).
I don't have the answer. I
never ran up the bills in the first place, and I don't know how
to pay them in the second place.
I hold the gold and I pray
for my five kids, the youngest being only 22. I survived World
War II and the Great Depression. My kids will have to learn how
to survive the future just as I had to learn to survive the '30s
and '40s.
The generation that grew up
after the mid-1970s is the first generation in American history
that has never seen hard times. I'm afraid that will change for
our kids and grandkids. They'll have to learn how to cope with
hard times as my generation did.
In the Army Air Force during
WW II we used to sing a song that ran, "Bless them all,
bless them all, the long and the short and the tall" --
I bless them all again today -- your kids and mine. I really
do.
More follows for subscribers
. . .
Richard Russell
Dow Theory
Letters
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