From a technical standpoint, gold looks set for some short-term pain. Just like stocks, the gold chart is taking a page from 2008. Check it out:
When it hit the fan last year, gold failed to deliver the righteous moonshot many had forecast. It certainly was a better place to be than stocks, but gold still suffered. Until further notice, the same playbook appears to be in use today... gold may be the once and future money, but the dollar and U.S. Treasuries remain the ultimate flight to quality when the going gets tough.
After sticking to a tight range the last few weeks, gold fell today along with stocks. The spot price shed $10, to $925 an ounce.
"I see everything coming up roses for gold and those who mine it," says Chris Mayer, armed with proof he's not the only value hound with his eye on gold.
"For the first time in a couple of decades, some of America's most successful, big-name investors are buying gold. David Einhorn, the hedge fund manager who predicted the downfall of Lehman Bros., recently bought gold for the first time.
"And then there is John Paulson, the guy who made billions of dollars by correctly anticipating the housing bust and credit crisis. Paulson just plunked down $1.3 billion for an 11% stake in AngloGold. He's also got a big position in Kinross Gold.
"Peter Munk, the 81-year-old chairman and founder of Barrick Gold, also offers up his own anecdote about gold's broadening appeal. 'I have had more phone calls in the past six months than ever before - from people who have $120,000 inherited from grandmother, and from hedge fund managers with millions,' he says. 'I am not saying George Soros, but people of that caliber have told me they are buying gold.'
"You no longer have to be a gold bug to think gold will rise in price. In fact, this buying by some of the world's greatest investors may be the leading indicator for a quick 116% climb - to $2,000 per ounce or higher. Give gold the cold stare of a professional handicapper and the odds look very good, indeed."
Ian MathiasCopyright ©2009 Agora Financial LLC. All Rights Reserved.
As it turns out, markets and global economics can be extreme too... at least enough to keep him around.
Since working for Agora Financial, respected media outlets including Forbes.com, the Associated Press, Yahoo, and MSN Money have syndicated his writing. He received his BA from Loyola College in Maryland and is currently studying writing at the graduate level.