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Manhattan
Minerals
Frank Lechner
whynotgold@msn.com
(UPDATED) posted February 07, 2003
What if I told
you there was a company out there that has an immense gold and
silver deposit which is only the precursor to the mother lode?
The actual mother lode consists of copper and zinc. This company
makes for a great story also.
This deposit
is located below a rural village; the town of Tambogrande in
Northern Peru. What does that mean? It means that there have
been stumbles along the way. During the last administration,
the government was less a willing partner in mine development.
This eventually resulted in an unlawful sabotage of the mining
facilities. This cost the company upwards of a $1 Million, in
lost facilities and assets. Since that period, the new government
was elected, and a more conducive environment is taking shape.
The Environmental Review has been submitted and appears to be
on the fast track. The members of the community have submitted
petitions for favorable development with over 10,000 signatures
acquired.
The village is looking at this as an opportunity to break the
poverty and destitution surrounding the area. The jobs gained
will provide most welcome relief in an area that can surely use
them. This will also improve the standard of living as kids will
once again be able to attend school, people will be employed,
and a vibrant community can once again become visible. Over the
past couple of years, Manhattan has agreed to move any parts
of the town that the mine would adversely affect.
This same company is located on the northern reaches of Peru
near the Ecuadorian border. Where once the political situation
was once volatile, this has now stabilized as Peru does have
a democratically elected government. The current government is
friendly toward mining companies whereas the last temporary government
was, shall we say, adverse to the cause. Manhattan has gone out
of its' way to be a good steward of the surrounding area and
of the town itself.
The resources of this company are being realized on a continuous
basis. They have proved three significant mineral assets. These
are called TG-1 which is a gold and silver deposit on top of
the copper zinc deposit, and TG-3 and B-5 high grade deposits.
These deposits on top of the copper are mineable by open pit
methods with a low strip ratio, thereby allowing mine payback
to occur rather rapidly. This gold and silver should be recovered
at 90% and 62% respectively.
The TG-1 deposit includes 1 Million ounces of Gold and 17 Million
ounces of Silver sitting on top of 950,000 Tons of Copper along
with 590,000 Tons of Zinc. The total deposit inclusive of the
Copper/Zinc has the potential for 46.5M ounces of Silver. The
TG-3 and B-5 deposits are located within 10km of each other.
Manhattan has 900 square kilometers of exploration land concessions
around the TG-1 deposit. It is my opinion that they are only
beginning to unlock the value withheld in this area. From the
company, "the rate of discovery is unprecedented",
and "there are no other districts in the world where such
large deposits occur within such close proximity".
The TG-3 Resources show the possibility of 2.1M ounces of Gold,
65.9M ounces of Silver, 820,000 tons of Copper, and a further
1.14M tons of Zinc. The size of this resource base continues
to expand. With just the TG-1 and the TG-3 deposits, the potential
is there for over 3M ounces of Gold, upwards of 120M ounces of
Silver, 1.77M tones of Copper, and of course 1.73M tones of Zinc.
After only
10 holes at the B-5 deposit, a high grade copper deposit has
become apparent. One hole intersected 4.6% Copper and 17.7g/ton
of Silver. With further capital availability, I can see a truly
world class mine taking shape here.
The economic analysis has been completed as of Sept 2002. The
mining projects undiscounted project cash flow of US $220 Million.
The internal rate of return is 21.6% over a 12 year life span.
The Net Present Value of the project is $118.3 Million using
a discount rate of 5%. The valuations are based on $320 Gold,
$5 Silver, $0.90 Copper, and $0.45 Zinc prices. After 3 _ years
the production will switch to primarily Copper and Zinc. The
Gold and Silver are going to be used to fund the company through
the start up phases. Effectively, an investor will have the opportunity
to realize a copper deposit worth upwards of $1.56 Billion debt
free. This doesn't even account for the zinc deposit, or the
deposits at TG-3 and B-5.
The above gives you a feel for what this company has hiding under
the hood. Let's take a look at current share values. There are
about 45.4 Million shares outstanding.
Here is the
chart:
Firstly, you
can see last year after a realization of the true value of this
company, the stock was hammered because of the protest at the
mine site. This took it down to very convenient accumulation
levels. This train is heading out of town, so now is the time
to accumulate it accordingly. Just reaching its' old highs would
put it up 100% from current levels. It is currently, at the lower
end of its' trading range from the end of the bear market in
precious metals in 2001. The upper end of this range is 1.40
or about 40% from current levels. The Net Present Value of this
project equates to a share price of $3.03 US or C$ 4.66.
It is my opinion that as the resources are explored and developed
in the future, that this stock will significantly pass the old
price levels from the daily chart. The stock will then go on
to attempt a run at the old highs from the following monthly
chart:

This article
is written as an informational document only. I have no ties
to this company other than I own a position in this stock. You
will need to complete your own due diligence accordingly. The
very complete website is:
http://www.manhattan-min.com/s/Home.asp
Frank A Lechner
Questions or
Comments? Fire Away At: whynotgold@msn.com
Frank Lechner
is an independent business owner and investor who has studied
the markets over the past 20 years, dating to the last major
bull run in precious metal investments. We had a mini bull market
in the early 90's and he believes we are currently in the early
stages of a bull market equivalent to the late 70's and early
80's.
This is not
meant as investment advice. This is only an opinion. Past performance
is no guarantee of future results.
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321gold Inc Miami USA
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