Home   Links   Editorials

Elliott Wave Counts For Gold, Silver, & GDX

email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

Nov 15, 2018


Short Term Update:

On the intraday chart the move from the 1239.30 high to the current low of 1196.60 has been corrective looking, so when it ends (which could be at the 1196.60 low), we should start to move higher again, and that move may have just started!     
Within wave .iii. we are now working on our first impulsive sequence, as shown on our “Daily Gold Chart”. Within that first impulsive sequence we believe that we are working on a subdividing wave $iii$.

Based on the fall in gold on Friday, we have now relabeled our internal count for wave $iii$ to suggest that all of wave !i! ended at the 1246.00 high and all or most of wave !ii! ended at the current low of 1196.60.

We are now waiting for wave !ii! to officially end, after which we expect a sharp wave !iii! higher, as shown on the chart.
We have now extended our 61.8% retracement level and have reached our 78.6% retracement level which is 1197.50.

For our current analysis to remain valid we really did not want to see gold trade below this level, and today’s “super pop” higher from that area likely validates our bullish analysis!
Longer term our first projection for the end of wave .iii. is:
.iii. = 1.618.i. = 1447.20.
We do have higher projections. Of course, wave .iii. will subdivide into a 5 wave impulsive sequence in its journey higher.  
Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops.
Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!


Short Term Update:

Silver was lower in yesterday’s day session and that trend continued in the overnight session as we have reached a low of 13.86. We are currently trading at the 13.96 level.  
As we mentioned in yesterday’s Morning Post it looks like wave ii is not complete at the 13.96 low as we have now reached a new low of 13.86.

As you can see on the “Daily Silver Chart” we have updated our current count, and adjusted where our wave .b. triangle actually ended.

We have now satisfied the minimum requirements for a completed wave .c. and are now waiting for confirmation that all of wave ii is complete at the 13.86 low.   
We will provide our updated projection for the end of wave iii, when we are sure that all of wave ii is complete.  
Trading Recommendation: Long silver. Use a put as a stop.
Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops!

GDX & Gold Stocks:

GDX 60 Min Chart:

GDX Daily Chart:  

Short Term Update:

The GDX was lower in yesterday’s day session as we reached a low of 18.26. 

We just adjusted our short term count to show that all or most of wave -ii- should now be complete at the 18.26 low… just in time for today’s surge higher!

Once this correction ends we should start to move sharply higher again, in wave -iii-.
Longer term our first projection for the end of wave 3 is:
3 = 1.618(1) = 48.95.
We have the following counts:
Kinross: We have completed the minimum requirements for a completed wave (ii), at the 2.58 low. Wave  (iii) rally is now underway.
Barrick:  We have completed the minimum requirements for a completed wave (ii) at the 9.53 low. Wave (iii) rally is now underway.
HUI: We have completed the minimum requirements for a completed wave (ii), at the 131.12 low. Wave (iii) rally is now underway.
XAU: We have completed the minimum requirements for a completed wave 2 at the 60.59 low. Wave 3 rally is now underway.
Trading Recommendation: We continue to suggest buying all of the above gold stocks and indices, for a long term hold.
Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSR, and TSX:XGD with no stops!! 

Free Offer For 321Gold Readers: Please send me an Email to admin@captainewave.com and I’ll send you our free “Roadmap Of 15% Interest Rates Horror!” report. We highlight why gold stocks are poised to go ballistic as the Fed is stunned by 2019 inflation reports, and begins to consider 50 basis point hikes! We include key wave counts and a roadmap of horror for the US 10year bond yield!


Nov 15, 2018
captainewave & Crew!
email: admin@captainewave.com
website: www.captainewave.com

Risk: captainewave.com is an impersonal advisory service and, therefore, no consideration can or is made toward your financial circumstances. All material presented within captainewave.com is not to be regarded as investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. Trading stocks does involve risk, so caution must always be utilized. We cannot guarantee profits or freedom from loss. You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading you choose to undertake. You also agree to bear complete responsibility for your investment research and decisions and acknowledge that captainewave.com has not and will not make any specific recommendations or give advice to you or any of its clients upon which they should rely. captainewave.com suggests that the client/member test all information and trading methodologies provided at our site through paper trading or some other form of testing. captainewave.com, its owners, or its representatives are not registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. securities and exchange commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. We recommend consulting with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. If you choose to invest with or without seeking advice from such an advisor or entity, then any consequences resulting from your investments are your sole responsibility.

All information posted is believed to come from reliable sources. captainewave.com does not warrant the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of information available from its service and, therefore, will not be liable for any loss incurred. Due to the electronic nature of the internet, the captainewave.com website, its e-mail & distribution services and any other such "alerts" could fail at any given time. captainewave.com will not be responsible for unavailability of use of its website, nor undelivered e-mails, or "alerts" due to internet bandwidth problems, equipment failure, or acts of god. captainewave.com does not warrant that the transmission of e-mails, or any "alert" will be uninterrupted or error-free. captainewave.com will not be liable for the acts or omissions of any third party with regards to captainewave.com delay or non-delivery of the captainewave.com nightly emails or "alerts". Further, we do not receive any form of payment or other compensation for publishing information, news, research or any other material concerning any securities on our site or publish any information on our site that is intended to affect or influence the value of securities.

There is no guarantee past performance will be indicative of future results. No assurance can be given that the recommendations of captainewave.com will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. All clients should understand that the results of a particular period will not necessarily be indicative of results in future periods. The results listed at this website are based on hypothetical trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated trades do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have over or under compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. You may have done better or worse than the results portrayed. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. No independent party has audited the hypothetical performance contained at this website, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified hereafter. While the results presented at this website are based upon certain assumptions believed to reflect actual trading conditions, these assumptions may not include all variables that will affect, or have in the past affected, the execution of trades indicated by captainewave.com. The hypothetical results on this website are based on the assumption that the client buys and sells the positions at the open price of the stock. The simulation assumes purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. In actual trading, prices received may or may not be the same as the assumed order prices.

321gold Ltd