Precious Metals: Long Term Wave Counts
May 14, 2018
Weekly Gold Chart (double-click to enlarge):
We continue to work on the assumption that all of a complex wave ^ii^ NOT complete at the 1303.60 low. The specifics what we think wave ^ii^ is now doing are included on our daily gold chart, but we appear to be still working on wave $c$ of ^ii^.
Within wave $c$ it looks we still working on our corrective wave !iv! rally. Only a break now above the wave !i! low of 1335.50 low would confirm that all of wave ^ii^ is complete at the 1304.20 low and a sharp wave ^iii^ is now underway.
Our 50 to 61.8% retracement zone for all of wave ^ii^ is:
50% = 1301.90;
This drop in gold is following our wave -iv- rally in the USDX, which is described below under the USDX section.
Overall, gold should continue rally sharply in 2018.
Weekly Silver Chart (double-click to enlarge):
Longer Term Update:
Silver was higher this past week as we reached a high of 16.87.
It looks like wave ^ii^ in silver could now be complete at the 16.07 low, and if that is the case then we have started a very sharp wave ^iii^ higher.
Our only concern with confirming this now, is that gold appears to still have one more drop before it completes its corresponding wave ^ii^ correction.
As indicated above gold could have completed its wave ^ii^ correction at the 1304.20 low, as a failure, but we will resist making that our base case for the time being.
Silver should move sharply higher in 2018.
In the very long term we completed all of wave III at 49.00 in 1980 and all of wave IV at 3.55 in 1993. We are now working on wave V and within wave V we have the following count;
1 = 49.82;
Active Positions: Long with puts as stops!
The GDX was higher this past week, and we challenged the 23.00 level.
We continue to assume that we are now falling in our second wave (c) of ii, which has a minimum target of 20.84. Over the last couple of weeks the GDX has been rallying as gold has been falling, which is clouding our short term outlook.
Longer term, all of wave 1 ended at 31.79 and that wave 2 at the 18.68 low.
Our first and second projection for end of wave 3 is:
Active Positions: We are long the GDX, ABX, KGC, NEM, SSR, and TSX:XGD with no stops!
Free Offer For 321Gold Readers: Send me an email to firstname.lastname@example.org and I’ll send you a free sample of my daily newsletter!
Risk: captainewave.com is an impersonal advisory service and, therefore, no consideration can or is made toward your financial circumstances. All material presented within captainewave.com is not to be regarded as investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. Trading stocks does involve risk, so caution must always be utilized. We cannot guarantee profits or freedom from loss. You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading you choose to undertake. You also agree to bear complete responsibility for your investment research and decisions and acknowledge that captainewave.com has not and will not make any specific recommendations or give advice to you or any of its clients upon which they should rely. captainewave.com suggests that the client/member test all information and trading methodologies provided at our site through paper trading or some other form of testing. captainewave.com, its owners, or its representatives are not registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. securities and exchange commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. We recommend consulting with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. If you choose to invest with or without seeking advice from such an advisor or entity, then any consequences resulting from your investments are your sole responsibility.
All information posted is believed to come from reliable sources. captainewave.com does not warrant the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of information available from its service and, therefore, will not be liable for any loss incurred. Due to the electronic nature of the internet, the captainewave.com website, its e-mail & distribution services and any other such "alerts" could fail at any given time. captainewave.com will not be responsible for unavailability of use of its website, nor undelivered e-mails, or "alerts" due to internet bandwidth problems, equipment failure, or acts of god. captainewave.com does not warrant that the transmission of e-mails, or any "alert" will be uninterrupted or error-free. captainewave.com will not be liable for the acts or omissions of any third party with regards to captainewave.com delay or non-delivery of the captainewave.com nightly emails or "alerts". Further, we do not receive any form of payment or other compensation for publishing information, news, research or any other material concerning any securities on our site or publish any information on our site that is intended to affect or influence the value of securities.
There is no guarantee past performance will be indicative of future results. No assurance can be given that the recommendations of captainewave.com will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. All clients should understand that the results of a particular period will not necessarily be indicative of results in future periods. The results listed at this website are based on hypothetical trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated trades do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have over or under compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. You may have done better or worse than the results portrayed. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. No independent party has audited the hypothetical performance contained at this website, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified hereafter. While the results presented at this website are based upon certain assumptions believed to reflect actual trading conditions, these assumptions may not include all variables that will affect, or have in the past affected, the execution of trades indicated by captainewave.com. The hypothetical results on this website are based on the assumption that the client buys and sells the positions at the open price of the stock. The simulation assumes purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. In actual trading, prices received may or may not be the same as the assumed order prices.