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SP500, Oil & Gold: Key Wave Countscaptainewave Mar 15, 2026 SP500 Please click this link to view the Captain’s daily SP500 chart. Double-click to enlarge it. Analysis: Our internal wave count for wave -v- is as follows: .i. = 5381.55. Wave $iv$ likely ended at the 6636.04 low, and if that is the case then we should be heading higher in wave $v$, to all-time (and very temporary) new highs. Only a break now of the 6521.92 low (SP500 Cash) would be the signal that the US500 has peaked, although it would still be short our minimum target of: 7002.38. Active Positions: Flat! Special Subscription Offer: At $99/mth the Captain Ewave newsletter value is superb, and we have a special offer this week of just $199 for a three-month subscription. Investors get six updates a week from the Captain AND his key signals for the market… when he issues and acts on them himself. Send us an email at admin@captainewave.com or click this link and we’ll get you on board! Thank-you! Please click this link to view the Captain’s weekly oil chart. Double-click to enlarge it. Analysis: Crude was sharply higher this past week, reaching a high of 119.48, and closing at 98.78! Wave ii ended at the 54.89 low and we now moving sharply higher in wave iii. Within wave iii, we have completed wave (i) at the 119.48 high and we are now correcting in wave (ii), which has retracement levels as shown in our Daily Post. We do not think that wave (ii) is complete. After wave (ii) ends we expect a sharp move higher in wave (iii). Our initial projection (which we set long before the war) for the completion of wave iii is: iii = 1.618i= 331.28! In the long term we are now rallying in wave C that has the following projections: C = A = 153.77. Active Positions: Long oil futures, with put options as our stops!
Please click this link to view the Captain’s weekly gold chart. Double-click to enlarge it. Analysis: Gold is generally moving in a multi-decade incomplete impulsive fashion, from the 35.20 low made back in 1970. Within this impulsive move, we have the following count: 1 = 1920.80. Wave (iii) is now complete at the 5595.40 high and we are falling in a multi-month wave (iv) correction, which has the following retracement levels: 23.6% = 4702.10. We have already reached our retracement zone, but we doubt that all of wave (iv) is already complete and while time is not part of Ewave analysis, we suspect that it will take many months for it to do so. For the time being we are assuming that wave (iv) will be a 3-wave corrective pattern, so we likely completed all of wave -a- at the 4404.10 low and if that is the case then we are moving higher in wave -b-, which has a last retracement level of: 78.6% = 5340.50 We have reached our 78.6% retracement level, so we need to be on guard for the completion of wave -b-, perhaps at the 5419.30 high, and the start of another drop in wave -c at least back to the wave -a- low, to complete all of wave (iv). Wave (iv) could also become more complex. Thank-you! Risk: captainewave.com is an impersonal advisory service and, therefore, no consideration can or is made toward your financial circumstances. All material presented within captainewave.com is not to be regarded as investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. Trading stocks does involve risk, so caution must always be utilized. We cannot guarantee profits or freedom from loss. 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No independent party has audited the hypothetical performance contained at this website, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified hereafter. While the results presented at this website are based upon certain assumptions believed to reflect actual trading conditions, these assumptions may not include all variables that will affect, or have in the past affected, the execution of trades indicated by captainewave.com. The hypothetical results on this website are based on the assumption that the client buys and sells the positions at the open price of the stock. The simulation assumes purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. In actual trading, prices received may or may not be the same as the assumed order prices. |
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