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A Missed OpportunityJohn Browne Most Americans have come to accept the simple truth that we have eroded our national wealth by consuming far more than we produce. With this understanding taking hold, and with the severity of the financial crisis spreading, government has an opportunity to radically change course to put the nation on a different economic path. But rather than making a meaningful turn, all our politicians are willing to do is put their foot on the accelerator. We have been told repeatedly by our leaders that consumer spending is the life force of our economy. With our industrial base all but gone, personal consumption now accounts for 72 percent of GDP. As a result, politicians simply won't allow American consumers to consider a belated bout of economic prudence. The collapse of the real estate casino embarrassed government and angered Americans greatly. But the crisis does create a significant political base upon which our government could engineer a real cure for America's economic and financial ills. It is a great opportunity. So far, it has been ignored. On the grounds that it was in America's vital interests to unfreeze the credit markets, the administration terrified Congress into authorizing a total of some $1 trillion to 'fix' or restore the system - the old flawed system! Without waiting to see if their plan has even a chance of success, the parade of self congratulations has already begun. Together with other major G-7 nations, the U.S. Federal Reserve has led the charge to underwrite, or nationalize, the banks, with taxpayer funds. So far, the total amounts to some $3.5 trillion. Doubtless there will be much more to come. So, the banks have been rescued, for a time at least. But what of the American economy: has that been rescued as well? The answer is a resounding 'No!' While trillions of dollars are being spent on keeping the current, deeply flawed, banking system functioning (and their profligate executives well compensated), nothing is being done or even discussed, that will restore a sustainable balance to the American economy. Their only solutions have been economic stimulus packages that look to prop up spending with hundreds of billions of printing press dollars. Economists concede that eventually Americans will need to cut back, spend less, and save more. However, they argue that such measures are best delayed until we have printed our way back to economic health. It sounds absurd, because it is. Americans inherently realize what is wrong, and they would likely support tougher measures to put America back on track. They want corrective action and are looking for real change. But our leaders are terrified, particularly of the truth.While they criticize business leaders for opaque accounting, Congress and the Administration lead the way in smoke and mirrors. The suspicion that the government does not tell the truth about the economy has become widely accepted. For instance, most observers acknowledge that the public debt of the U.S. Treasury has risen from $5.2 trillion [Editor's note: wrong... one year ago the public debt was (NINE) $9,057,981,725,122.80 on Oct 23, 2007. click here.] to a staggering $10 trillion in the past year. This is some 71 percent of our annual domestic production. But this is only part of the story. The national balance sheet is more notable for what it does not mention. The total U.S. Treasury debt, including private IOUs to Medicare and Social Security, is a nightmarish $50 trillion, or some 3.6 times our national earnings as measured by GDP! Another area of potential 'eyewash' is the growing realization that many government statistics are 'cooked'. For instance, when household bills were rising at a rate of some 20 percent in early 2008, the government was reporting an official inflation rate of some 3 percent? To restore our economy to a healthy balance will require a massive political initiative. But a skilled leader with the truth in his pocket and the political wind at his back has a chance, perhaps, of pushing through the severe and painful reforms needed. Short of this, the rake's progress will continue, with the U.S. dollar pursuing its long-term decline. *** For a more in depth analysis of our financial problems and the inherent dangers they pose for the U.S. economy and U.S. dollar denominated investments, read Peter Schiff's book "Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse." Click here to order a copy today. For an updated look at his investment strategy order a copy of his just-released book 'The Little Book of Bull Moves in Bear Markets." Click here to order your copy now.
Oct 23, 2008
321gold Ltd |
John
Browne is the Senior Market Strategist for Euro Pacific Capital,
Inc. Mr. Browne is a distinguished former member of Britain's
Parliament who served on the Treasury Select Committee, as Chairman
of the Conservative Small Business Committee, and as a close associate
of then-Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Among his many notable
assignments, John served as a principal advisor to Mrs. Thatcher's
government on issues related to the Soviet Union, and was the
first to convince Thatcher of the growing stature of then Agriculture
Minister Mikhail Gorbachev. As a partial result of Browne's advocacy,
Thatcher famously pronounced that Gorbachev was a man the West
"could do business with." A graduate of the Royal Military
Academy Sandhurst, Britain's version of West Point and retired
British army major, John served as a pilot, parachutist, and communications
specialist in the elite Grenadiers of the Royal Guard.