Gold Sales - Scams and Big Money
Neil Charnock
www.goldoz.com.au
Apr 9, 2009
Today I am offering some information
on the hidden world outside the mainstream gold trade and investment
scene. There is much ignorance and confusion on the subject -
scams, victims, criminals, legitimate business and big money.
It is an essential trade for many economies and for people that
rely on gold sales for their survival. What a great subject -
intrigue, scandal, danger, survival, opportunity and excitement!
Introduction
I want to offer some education
to investors about a side of the gold market little understood
by many gold traders, finance professionals and most private
investors. Most of the public outside these groups remain clueless
about where to even buy gold this early in the gold rally which
is actually a good sign for the rest of us.
Much of the gold trade I refer
to comes from South America, parts of Asia and more so from Africa.
National Geographic produced an excellent article in January
this year; "The
Real Price of Gold" and it outlines the plight of the
miners in the poorer nations who chase gold for their survival.
They risk life and limb for
the precious metal and sadly many die in the pursuit of the king
of metals and the freedom it might bring them. Many live shortened
lives prompting some with a partial view of the whole picture
to jump to some wrong conclusions.
The Governments and economies
of many third world countries rely on gold as a vital component
of their GDP which allows roads and other infrastructure to be
built. This in turn allows crops to be bought to market that
would otherwise rot when unmade roads turn into mush during the
rainy season and become impassable.
The gold mining and sales activities
enable the building of new facilities like hospitals and schools.
Of course many of the major gold miners operate in these countries
with substantial mines using the latest technologies. For example:
Anglogold Ashanti in Ghana and Barrick Gold at Lagunas Norte
(Peru) and elsewhere - and Newmont too plus several others.
They operate in difficult conditions
and contribute to these economies also and often take excellent
profits for their trouble and risk during the good times - and
so they should. After all they also face extreme risk and little
if any reward during the bad times in their industry.
Global Gold - Mainstream in brief
Meanwhile back at the ranch,
elsewhere in richer economies there are nothing but modern mining
companies and mining methods backed by world standard refineries
and bullions banks that move large quantities of bullion from
Seller to Buyer and back again. Conditions are still tough for
the miners but nothing like life in Africa, parts of Asia or
much of South America.
The first world gold trade
is well covered by the World Gold Council founded in 1987. "The
World Gold Council is an organisation formed and funded by the
world's leading gold mining companies with the aim of stimulating
and maximising the demand for, and holding of Gold."
Most physical gold and silver
buyers invest in jewelry or 99.5% pure gold ingots that are stamped
by a registered LBMA (London Bullion Members Association) refinery.
Much of the investment grade
jewelry is 22 Carat gold and stamped by a goldsmith or jeweler
- not by a LBMA registered refinery however investors still rightly
consider it real wealth and a solid gold investment.
Gold is fungible meaning that
gold produced in South America, Europe, Australia, USA, Switzerland
or Africa is the same product - all gold is gold - simple
fact.
Gold is a rare element as you
all know - it is listed as the symbol Au at number 79 on the
periodic table of chemical elements. Au is short for the Latin
name for gold which is Aurum. It is the same element all over
the world because it is a basic chemical element - cannot be
broken down any further into other elements.
Interestingly enough it is
the impurities that stamp gold with the location it was mined
- that little 0.5% or less has a chemical signature of impurities
much like a fingerprint.
The leading identity in the
gold sales market is the London Bullion Market Association. It
exists "to facilitate trading among London Bullion Members
Association members, a list of acceptable Smelters and Assayers
is maintained by the Market." This is known as The London/Zurich
Good Delivery List. There are LBMA refineries throughout the
world refining local gold from local mines and also re-smelting
old gold for investment purposes from scrap and older bars.
GLD is short for Good London
Delivery and this term relates to a set standard of gold bullion
that regulates bar size, weight, acceptable Hallmarks (stamp
of the refiner), serial numbers, year of manufacture and of course
fineness (purity level). Even global reserve estimates are related
to this system and the business done by the LBMA refineries.
So much for mainstream gold
trading - I could go into swaps, paper gold and ETFs however
this is outside the scope and purpose of this article which concentrates
on physical gold.
The hidden side of the trade
Outside the mainstream gold
scene, the GLD system, investment bars and jewelry we have wholesale
gold which does sell at a discount under spot and many investors
and professionals I have spoken to could not - and some still
do not believe this is true. I can understand their reluctance
to accept this for several reasons.
There are a large number of
gold scams out there and most of them revolve around the form
of dore bars and gold dust. Most countries outside the GLD system
(no LBMA approved refinery within their country) tax the gold
leaving their shores and there is smuggling and all sorts of
corruption to avoid these taxes.
These countries do manage to
collect some much needed taxation revenue from this source however
this type of environment allows for abuse of the system. I am
not pointing the finger of blame here it is just how it is and
many nations that fit this description are doing something about
reforms - step by step it is not an easy process.
What you have to understand
is that dore bars are actually miners bars and are what mining
companies in even modern economies actually produce. Gold miners
ship their dore bars to refineries both in and outside the GLD
/ LBMA system depending on where they operate. Some miners ship
a more crude form of gold concentrate however gold dore bars
are common.
For those that have not seen
gold dore here are two pictures (below left) offered as illustration.
The photo on the right is a pan containing gold dust - fine particles
of gold.
Dore bars contain various quantities
of gold - purity levels vary considerably. Unlike GLD bullion
bars or stamped 22 carat jewelry there is no standard purity.
The same applies to gold dust and I have included a photo above
to show what I mean by "dust." Once again there
is no set standard of purity, weight or date of manufacture,
no stamp and no hallmark are possible for gold dust.
The "Discount" Word
The variable nature and risk
associated with the gold trade of Dore and dust outside the GLD
regulated countries attracts a discount. It attracts a large
amount of highly questionable activity and outright fraud as
well which makes it hard for the honest miners to market their
product.
There are some buying systems
in place, however this trade is lightly regulated and
subject to major abuse by criminals. Investors hear about discount
gold and see opportunity and I strongly caution potential buyers
without solid experience and "means" to go anywhere
near this trade.
The main abuse, apart from
outright fraud, tends to be related to gold dust because it is
so easy to tamper with. Scoop out a few handfuls and throw in
some sand to make up the weight difference and the crime is done
- and hard to detect. I heard a story recently that one gold
dust shipment assayed 40% less at the buyers end - obvious tampering.
Dore is much safer because
it is semi refined and the chunks can be counted, weighed and
assayed with greater certainty. It is semi refined suggesting
a greater level of sophistication from the actual mine supplier.
This is not raw panned alluvial gold - the supplier is more likely
to be able to manage the logistics trail and ensure the true
gold content is not tampered with along the way.
Once again though there is
much fraud and this is not mainstream supply, so great
caution is needed. In order to safely buy discount Dore bars
from these countries you have to have solid intelligence on the
people involved. It is important to establish that they operate
a registered mine or mining tenement sometimes called a mining
concession. Without this it is unlikely you can establish correct
ownership or guarantee that the supply is not from criminal,
money laundering activities or terrorist origins.
The reasons above are the main
cause of legitimate discount gold trade - the honest legitimate
operators are forced to sell their non GLD product at discount.
The legitimate dore and dust is sold after assay in the country
of origin and by the same methods used in first world countries
- it is not rocket science.
The largest refinery in Africa
is the Rand refinery (South Africa) and it is a highly regarded
and tightly regulated LBMA operation. This article is a brief
overview of this trade and is not the whole picture - however
it is offered as a general coverage of the subject and I hope
it clears up some misunderstanding on this trade.
Yes discount gold is real -
it is not a myth, however buyer beware. The risk is extremely
high if you are not dealing in the manner I have described above
and there is nowhere near enough gold supply from this type of
source to supply global investment demand. Novices blundering
into some countries can lose more than money - they can lose
their lives. This is a trade for the experts who are well funded
- and for those who are well connected / experienced and resourced
with the wherewithal to do this successfully.
Fraudsters be aware this trade
is now controlled under anti-money laundering laws on a global
basis. There is increasing surveillance and scrutiny world wide
however this does not provide complete protection - so the above
caution still applies.
Lastly - a comment on the gold
price action lately. From my recent article [2 Mar 2009], Lies Exposed, Hope and Massive Change:
"Last week I penned
an article in which I stated gold was about to fall and gold
stocks were about to correct. The bulk of the talk then was about
gold going through US$1,000 and shooting upwards. My take was
that we will see perhaps a flat top triangle formation first
and a good multi test of the US$1,000 ceiling for a few months.
So far so good we got the reversal I expected and I look to further
falls over the next week or two possibly into the $850 to $875
area."
I have not changed my view;
here we are, a little slower than I thought, providing yet another
lesson in patience in these markets.
I believe we will consolidate
down here in this area and then head back up high enough to generate
excitement once again somewhere near the $1,000 area. It remains
to be seen how long it will take to break this exciting level
- but I expect it will happen this year somewhere between May
and November.
Neil Charnock
email: info@goldoz.com.au
website: www.goldoz.com.au
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DISCLAIMER: Neil Charnock is not
a registered investment advisor. He is a private investor who,
in addition to his essay publication offerings, has now assembled
a highly experienced panel to assist in the presentation of various
research information services. The opinions and statements made
in the above publication are the result of extensive research
and are believed to be accurate and from reliable sources. The
contents are his current opinion only, furthermore conditions
may cause these opinions to change without notice. The insights
herein published are made solely for international and educational
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as solicitation or recommendation to be used for formulation of
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share market investment or speculation is a high risk activity.
Investors enter such activity at their own risk and must conduct
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