Basking in the Desert Sun
Tony Bortolin
bortolin@pathcom.com
January 9, 2004
Joe Investor
here. It's early January 2004, freezing cold outside, and I have
just received the 2003 Annual Report for Desert Sun Mining, symbol
DSM on the TSX. In short, if you haven't seen it yourself, the
following are some excerpts and information from the foreword
that seem to say it all:
Desert Sun
Mining is a gold exploration and development company that owns 100% of one
of the largest gold belts in Brazil - the Bahia Gold Belt. The property
can be discussed in two parts:
The first part
represents less than 10% of the total property. It hosts three
past producers, collectively known as the Jacobina Mines. "The
three mines and the surrounding area host of 1.4 million ounces
of gold resources in the measured and indicated category (14.8
million tonnes at 2.86 g Au/t) and an additional 2.5 million
ounces in the inferred category (29.5 million tonnes at 2.62
g Au/t).
"Following
the completion of a bankable feasibility study by SNC Lavalin
on the measured and indicated resources of 1.4 million ounces,
Desert Sun is now reopening the existing mines and reactivating
the processing plants and expects to be at full production by 2005 at 102,000
ounces per year and a cash cost of US$189 per ounce." In particular:
"By 2005, the Company will be in full production and will
generate between
$15 to $20 million in free cash flow per year from the operation."
A separate
source (the TSX web site) indicates that the company currently
has about 56 million shares. Working with that figure, $15 million
in free cash flow divided by 56 million shares would thus equate
to a cash flow of about 27 cents per share. That might even be
in U.S. funds.
It also seems
the estimate of $15 million in free cash flow assumes an average
price of gold of US$350 per ounce. The estimate of $20 million
in free cash flow assumes a price of gold of US$400 per ounce.
In that case, $20 million divided 56 million shares would equate
to a cash flow of about 36 cents per share. Obviously, there
are many other variables (and please recall I don't give any
advice; I'm just a private investor trying to share thoughts
and information). For now, things look pretty good to me as the
price of gold is over US$420. So, estimated cash flow of 27 cents
to 36 cents or more (perhaps in US$) based on gold at US$350
to $400 and gold is already over US$420, and the current price
of the stock is only about $1.70CDN? And that's not the whole
story
Then we come
to the remaining 90% of the property. The company has already
conducted some drilling and continues to do so. In short, in
the words of the company, there are three target areas alone
that have produced "spectacular
results."
In fact, one of the company's goals for 2004 is to: "Increase our
mineable reserves to at least 2 million ounces and significantly
increase our total resources." Based on our exploration results to
date, we believe this is easily achievable."
And again,
that is a goal just for the year 2004. It seems the company could
increase its resources in future years as the company also plans,
in 2004, to conduct broad exploration along the rest of the 110
kilometer-long gold belt (which is again 100% owned by the company)
"to
demonstrate its potential as one of the longest gold bearing
belts in the world."
The company
also suggests it is now well-financed ("strong balance sheet"),
having recently raised some funds with new shares. This may explain
the price action over the last few months. Since the number of
shares has been increased, it appears the overall capitalization
of the stock has actually been increasing. With no new shares
expected for many months, if ever, then any further increase
in the capitalization would have to be reflected as an increase
in the price per share.
According to
the annual report, another company goal for 2004 is to obtain
a listing on a U.S. Exchange.
So it seems
to me that the company is doing well and "basking in the
Desert Sun."
Obviously,
for more details, and for accurate details, see the annual report
itself, and the company web site at www.desertsunmining.com.
Joe Investor
Tony Bortolin
January 2004
eMail bortolin@pathcom.com
Toronto, Canada
Copyright
©2004 T. Bortolin
Nothing
in this article is intended as investment or professional advice
or as a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Each reader is
solely responsible for doing his own due diligence or obtaining
his own professional advice before making any investment. All
information is taken from sources believed to be correct and
complete.
Disclosure:
Tony Bortolin does have a position in this company at the time
of publication.
Tony Bortolin did not receive any compensation for this report.
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321gold Inc Miami USA
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